Durable capacity
Static fallback: Phase 1 uses sample/demo data only. Scores are synthetic and must not be cited as production rankings.
Approved snapshot pending The page will use the approved public snapshot when the frontend gate validates it; static sample data remains the fallback.
Methodology
PADI is designed as a transparent policy dashboard for structural progress, recent momentum, continental contribution and strategic risk. Phase 1 is an MVP using sample data only.
Scoring model
Methodology PADI Composite Score
Weighted structural capacity, recent momentum and continental contribution, then adjusted for dependency exposure and reviewed events.
70% Structural 20% Momentum 10% Contribution
Recent movement
Pan-African effect
Applied after weighted score
Review-gated before publication
Source and coverage quality
Composite Formula
PADI Composite Score = 70% Structural Score + 20% Momentum Score + 10% Continental Contribution Score. Dependency adjustment and event adjustment are then applied.
Update Schedule
The planned update cadence is Weekly, Mondays at 06:00 Africa/Nairobi. Cloudflare cron uses UTC, so the planned expression is 0 3 * * 1.
Dependency Adjustment
The dependency adjustment ranges from 0 to -10 and reflects strategic exposure such as debt, imports, military dependence, food and energy vulnerability.
Event Adjustment
The event adjustment ranges from -5 to +5. High-risk events are staged for review before public score movement.
Ten Pillars
Each pillar has its own route and will later be backed by source-based indicators.
Sovereignty and Strategic Autonomy
Measures the ability to make and execute strategic choices without excessive external dependence.
Pan-African Integration and Continental Contribution
Measures participation in continental integration, regional public goods and cross-border cooperation.
Productive Transformation and Wealth Creation
Measures movement from commodity dependence toward diversified production, industry and technology.
Human Development and Social Wellbeing
Measures health, education, social protection, equity and human capability.
Food Sovereignty and Land/Water Security
Measures food system resilience, agricultural productivity and control over land and water resources.
Energy Sovereignty and Infrastructure Power
Measures energy access, grid reliability, transport corridors, digital infrastructure and infrastructure sovereignty.
Security, Peace and Defense Capability
Measures public security, conflict exposure, peacekeeping contribution and defense capability.
Ecological Regeneration and Climate Resilience
Measures climate resilience, ecological protection, adaptation capacity and regeneration.
Governance, Institutional Capacity and Public Execution
Measures the capacity of public institutions to plan, execute, coordinate and deliver services.
Diaspora, Culture, Knowledge and Soft Power
Measures diaspora engagement, cultural power, knowledge systems and external influence.
Confidence Ratings
- A: Strong official data coverage, recent sources and low dispute risk.
- B: Good coverage with some lag or moderate source gaps.
- C: Partial coverage, stale indicators or higher uncertainty.
- D: Insufficient coverage, disputed inputs or major validation concerns.
Source Tiers
- Tier 1: Official and primary institutional sources
- Tier 2: Reputable policy, specialist and academic sources
- Tier 3: Credible media and sector publications
- Tier 4: Unverified or low-confidence sources; never directly score-moving
Limitations
The MVP uses demo records only. Production releases must handle source lag, missing data, disputed events, country comparability and revision history.
Correction and Revision Policy
A public correction workflow is planned. Future versions should document error reporting, reviewer decisions, methodology version changes and historical restatement rules.